The WA State Election will be an interesting one. The rise of Pauline Hanson’s One Nation will put a spanner in the works of the major political parties and we will see a repeat of the 2001 State Election when PHON were able to gain three upper house MPs.
Pauline Hanson has been in Western Australia this week trying to promote her party despite it being dogged by problem candidates and former members wanting to sue the party leader for ‘ageism.’ Polling shows she could get anywhere between 9-12% of the primary vote. The issue for PHON however isn’t necessary the infighting as even negative media publicity is better than no publicity, it is the mere fact they lack volunteers to assist them in their campaign efforts.
The Australian Greens which are polling less than PHON in WA will probably no doubt do better and the simple reason is that they do appeal to younger West Australians. Given this, however, after looking at PHON’s social media sites they too have the ability to atract younger Australians. Pauline Hanson needs to engage younger people and re-launch their defunct Young Nation Movement. How she can do this, well thats for her and her team to decide on but she does need to engage them somehow. Pauline – if you are reading – I can assit you with this.
Given the lack of volunteers and no enagement of young people, I predict that PHON will only gain three upper house seats this coming state election. One from the Agricultural Region; one from the Mining and Pastoral Region and one from the Southwest Region. If they are lucky they may pick up one other upper house seat, where? Well thats anyones guess. I cant see them winning any lower house seats only because preferences are against them.
I am by no means being negative in my predictions but only realistic. There is still a chance, even with three upper house MP’s, One Nation could hold the balance of power in the Legislative Council. Fingers crossed this will be the case.