Malcolm Turnbull is hated in Australian politics. Within the Liberal Party he is hated as much as Bill Shorten. The fact he has lost 30 Newspolls in a row has proven that he is an unpopular Prime Minister. This experiment of having a left wing leader of a centre right political party has failed them miserably, however choosing a conservative to lead the party now is fraught with danger.
Conservatives within the Liberal Party are wanting the likes of either Abbott or Dutton to take over the reigns, whilst this could be a dream come true, it would spell the end of their political careers. The Liberal Party is spiralling out of control in terms of polling, it doesn’t matter what they do, the electorate wants a change, and to be honest who can blame them.
The issue I see is that whoever takes over the Liberal Party will have maybe 18months to try and change their electoral woes. Given that our Senate is rather hostile due to the dynamics of the crossbench it will be hard for any leader to push their electoral agenda. The only way in which a new leader could survive is to call a double dissolution within the first couple of months of their newly appointed leadership, the issue with this is if re-elected, the Senate could be more hostile than it already is.
If the Liberal Party do decide to bite the bullet and oust Turnbull, in my opinion they should choose Julie Bishop (should she decide to put her hand up). There are a number of reasons why but the main reason is, as mentioned previously, whoever leads the Liberal Party will no doubt end up lose the next Federal Election. The biggest thorn for the conservatives are progressives and Bishop is one of those thorns. If she leads the party at the next election to a defeat, she is more than likely to leave Parliament. It has been tradition that if you are voted out as PM you gracefully leave politics. With Turnbull and Bishop gone, the conservatives can rebuild and in opposition if we see a conservative as leader, it will give Shorten a run for his money.
In essence, conservatives within the Liberal Party need to calm their farm, work with the left and choose an alternative ‘moderate’ leader such as Julie Bishop. Let her go down in flames like Turnbull and then make their move. Do not waste good talented politicians like Dutton on this term of Government.